Florida Poll: Obama Leads Romney, Mack and Nelson Tied
ORLANDO, Florida-- President Barack Obama leads
presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney 45% to 39% amongst voters in Florida
according to a
Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.
This compares to the results of a May 3 Swing State Poll
by the independent Quinnipiac University, showing Obama with an 8-point
lead in Pennsylvania with
Florida and Ohio too close to call.
Matching Obama against Romney in each of these key states - no one has won the White
House since 1960 without taking at least two of them - shows:
- Florida: Obama edges Romney 45 - 41 percent;
- Ohio: Obama over Romney 47 - 38 percent;
- Pennsylvania: Obama tops Romney 45 - 39 percent.
"President Barack Obama has decent margins over Gov. Mitt Romney in Ohio and
Pennsylvania and a smaller advantage in Florida. If he can keep those leads in all three of these
key swing states through election day he would be virtually assured of re-election," said Peter A.
Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"The president's overall margin is built on his big lead among women, younger voters and
African-Americans. In Florida, on the heels of the president's order that will prevent the
deportation of some younger illegal immigrants, he holds a big lead among Hispanic voters," Brown added.
The horse race numbers reflect the general view of voters that they like the president
better. Obama has a net favorable view among Ohio voters and he is viewed evenly by those in
Pennsylvania and Florida, while Romney's favorable/unfavorable ratio is negative in all three
states.
Florida's Hispanic voters back Obama 56 - 32 percent, compared to 49 - 39 percent in a
June 21 Quinnipiac University poll, conducted before Obama and Romney each made major
addresses on immigration policy.
The president leads 85 - 6 percent among black voters while white voters back Romney
50 - 35 percent. Obama leads 47 - 40 percent among women, while men are divided with 43
percent for Obama and 42 percent for Romney.
Obama leads 81 - 7 percent among Democrats and 44 - 37 percent among independent
voters, losing Republicans 86 - 8 percent.
Florida voters give Obama a split 47 - 47 percent favorability, while Romney gets a
negative 37 - 42 percent favorability rating.
Romney would do a better job on the economy, 46 percent of Florida voters say, while 44
percent say Obama would do a better job. Obama would be better for their personal economic
future, 46 percent of voters say, compared to 45 percent for Romney.
Florida voters support Obama's immigration initiative 58 - 33 percent and say 46 - 40
percent the president would do a better job on immigration.
GOVERNOR RICK SCOTT
Voters disapprove 48 - 35 percent of the job Gov. Rick Scott is doing, continuing a 16-
month string of negative ratings.
FLORIDA U.S. SENATE RACE
Florida's U.S. Senate race remains too close to call as Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen.
Bill Nelson gets 41 percent to 40 percent for U.S. Rep. Connie Mack, the leading Republican
challenger.
"The U.S. Senate race between Bill Nelson and Connie Mack remains a dead heat with
17 percent of voters still undecided, an unusually large number," said Brown.