Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Quinnipiac Poll: Clinton And Trump Tied In Florida

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Florida

Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump are tied in the crucial swing-state of Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released on Tuesday.

The latest poll has Clinton at a statistical tie of 46% to Trump's 45% in the Sunshine State, compared to 47 - 39% back in June.

Florida women back Clinton 53% - 40%, while men back Trump 51% - 39%. Republicans back Trump 91% - 5%, while Clinton leads 89% - 8among Democrats. Independent voters are divided with 42% for Clinton and 41for Trump. White voters back Trump 57% - 36%, as non-white voters go to Clinton 68% - 21%

"This Swing State Poll shows a mixed result for the presidential candidates, although certainly with an overall edge for Secretary Hillary Clinton. She has a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania and the narrowest of edges in Ohio, but Florida, with the largest cache of Electoral College votes is a tie," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. 




In a campaign driven by negatives, most Trump supporters say they mainly are voting anti-Clinton while many Clinton supporters say they are voting anti-Trump.

Florida voters give Clinton and Trump negative favorability ratings, 39% - 55for her and 39% - 54% for him.

Among Clinton supporters, 42% say the main reason is pro-Clinton, while 41% say their main motive is anti-Trump and 13% say they back the Democratic nominees. 

Among Trump supporters, only 29% say they are pro-Trump, while 54% are anti-Clinton and 10% say they back the Republican nominee. 

"The closeness of the Florida race is seen inside the numbers. Independent voters are split 42 - 41 percent; she leads by 13 percent among women, while he is up 12 points among men. They have the same favorable rating among voters, 39 percent," Brown said.

Margin of Error


From July 30 - August 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed:

1,056 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points;

Photo credits: Trump and Clinton campaign photos.