MELBOURNE, Florida -- Republican Presidential Primary candidate Newt Gingrich has erased Mitt Romney's prior double digit lead in Florida and now leads Romney by 34% to 26% according to an Insider Advantage Poll conducted on January 22, 2012. Ron Paul rose to third place at 13% while Rick Santorum dropped to 11%.
As predicted by BrevardTimes.com on Saturday, the South Carolina win was a game changer for the GOP Primary in
Florida because it appears from polling data that Florida Republican voters favor the perceived front runner after each of the other states' primary elections.
The next question is whether Romney can stop his slide or Gingrich continue his ride after the Florida NBC Republican Presidential Primary Debate Tonight.
Although Ron Paul is not actively campaigning in Florida because it is an expensive state, Ron Paul's rise is not unexpected. As shown by the map below, Florida has a very large number of veterans (the large white area in Florida consists mostly of the sparsely inhabited Florida Everglades.)
Ron Paul is the only Republican candidate with military service
experience. Paul, a U.S. Air Force flight
surgeon from 1963 to 1968, already enjoys overwhelming support from
active and retired military voters who donate to his campaign at a 4 to 1
ratio over Romney.
The disdain by veterans against Romney could be due to the fact that he avoided the military draft for five years during the Vietnam War through a series of student and controversial Mormon ministerial deferments through the late 1960's. After those deferments ran out, Romney was eligible and registered for the draft in 1970 - but was not called.
In addition to his military service, Dr. Paul was an obstetrician. Florida has a large number of health care industry workers. Those two combined career experiences makes Ron Paul more like the people of Florida than any other Republican candidate.
Ron Paul: Overwhelming support among military members. The rest of the Republican leadership: Negligible rates of military service.
ReplyDeleteI’ve given it a lot of thought, and I was wrong, and I want to join the 70-80% of primary voters who voted against Dr. Ron Paul. They are 100% right, someone who was married with two children and went when he was drafted would make a terrible Commander and Chief. What we need is a chicken-hawk who never served a day as our Commander and Chief. The logic is clear, a chicken-hawk Commander and Chief would hastily start an undeclared war with Iran, and that would be a good thing. I know, we won’t find any nukes in Iran, just like we didn’t find any WMDs in Iraq, but that’s a good thing… Going to war, and not finding any WMDs makes us safer, and the blowback ensures that future generations will have plenty of wars to fight too. Being lied to about why we went to war is also a good thing… I mean that’s why we elect politicians, to make these kind of complex decisions for us, as we the people really shouldn’t have any say in these matters as we‘re just not smart enough to understand exactly why we‘re at war. As an added bonus we’ll have tens of thousands of additional wounded, and thousands of additional casualties, and trillions of dollars of additional debt, and these are all good things. Don’t worry if our troops support Dr. Paul, as it’s not important what they think, and we shouldn’t actually listen to them. I mean they signed up, so they should have no say in anything relating to the military… I mean the chicken-hawks own our soldiers… If we just think of our soldiers as numbers and not people, it will make everything easier, as their all expendable that way… I mean the whole purpose of our soldiers is to fight and die in undeclared wars where we find no WMDs, and they’ll like it that way… Listen, if it makes us feel better, we can put yellow ribbons on our cars, and have small welcome home celebrations for the soldiers who do make it back alive, but let’s not get carried away and actually start listening to them… I mean they need to be good little soldiers, and we all need to be good little soldiers and do what the chicken-hawks tell us, or we’re un-American. Well, now that I’ve joined the 80%, I sure feel a lot better… No more having to think about these complex issues, I’ll just turn on the TV, and let the status quo politicians handle all of these complex decisions for me… I mean, trusting the status quo politicians has worked out great for us so far… Oh great, the TV is telling me that going with the 80% was the choice I that was supposed to make, so I‘m feeling a lot better… I’m also feeling much more Christian now.
ReplyDeleteBest comment I've read following an article...ever.
Delete"Ron Paul is good." Torah Code.
DeleteThey need your comments over at the huff post. They're saying he wants to gut all the medi-services. They're false information is so cheap and desperate that if they told the truth it would be antithesis to their soul. Truth is they are afraid.
ReplyDeleteThe other details they leave out is that the power of the presidency is counterweighted under a RP term by the other branches of the government. He's a strict constitutionalist and strictly believes in not doing anything that he isn't authorized to do. He has many ideas for how he wants to bring liberty back to this country, but will congress let him? RP is our best choice and will act as the pendulum after an Obama administration. It is healthy for things to go back and forth. The problem with the other 3 choices is that they only bring the pendulum back to the midlde at best. With them nothing will improve.
DeleteThe only candidate who will actually do what he says is Ron Paul. Romney and Newt are a different version of Obama. We as Americans need someone who will represent us instead of Goldman-Sachs. We need to get behind Ron Paul and support him. There is no compromise on the constitution. Gun rights to now the NDAA where they can detain you as a terrorist without due process. Get these crooks out. Newt avoided the draft too.
ReplyDeleteThis is a two man race between Romney and Paul. Santorum and Gingrich are not on the ballot for 500 delegates worth of states. They are not, and will not be on the ballot in other states besides just Virginia. They have no grassroots support and virtually "zero" ground game. They cannot win the nomination.
ReplyDeletePeriod.
All this MSM Propaganda pushing either Santorum or Gingrich is a joke. Anyway you work the numbers, they are out.
You have to ask yourself why the media isn't telling the American Public the truth. Do the math and see for yourself.
The mainstream has been calling Paul unelectable all along. Gingrich's advance reveals that Romney's support is built on sand. And now GOP party leaders are scared b/c they know Gingrich is not electable vs Obama. Meanwhile Paul's support climbs steadily and his delegate-based strategy shows foresight given that we'll likely end up in a brokered convention. Anything could happen - every vote counts.
ReplyDeleteRon Paul is the only real electable candidate, and he is the only sane, honest candidate. How many decades has it been that We The People were able to elect a truly honest man who honors his oath to the Constitution? It's time. It is true that Gingrich and Santorum are not on the ballots in several states, 564 delegate votes they are not eligible for. They are Unelectable. A vote for either one of them is completely wasted. But, they won't tell the voters that. Instead they use it as a way to get more book sales, bigger speaking fees. It's just a way to bigger income, and more lobby money for them. Please, Floridians, don't waste your votes.
ReplyDeleteThis really is a 2 man race, and only one of them is honest, only one has integrity, and only one really cares about our military and their families. Ron Paul
Please, to the good people of Florida from a Texan, vote for Ron Paul. Grab your friends, you family, and carpool to the primaries. RON PAUL 2012
for all to read: The teacher does not stop to prove each theory or fact. The message is delivered whether his hearers agree with him or not. He does not care whether they all agree with him or not, for he feels sure those who are ready for the truth he teaches will recognize it, and for the others, if they are not prepared to receive the truth, no amount of arguement will help matters. The teacher knows that much of his teaching is but the planting of seed which will grow and be recognized only after the lapse of time. Henry T. Moray. End suppresion, and give us liberty or be forgotten.
ReplyDeleteDr. Paul for president 2012